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Groundhog day accuracy stats
Groundhog day accuracy stats






You’ll get the Monitor Weekly magazine, the Monitor Daily email, and unlimited access to Willie’s tradition began in 1955 as a joke, but especially since the 1993 film, has grown like many others into a big celebration and a boost to the local economy. If you’re looking for bran muffin journalism, you can subscribe to the Monitor for $15. We’re about kicking down the door of thought everywhere and saying, “You are bigger and more capable than you realize. We have a mission beyond circulation, we want to bridge divides. We’re known as being fair even as the world becomes as polarized as at any time since the newspaper’s founding in 1908. We’re run by a church, but we’re not only for church members and we’re not about converting people. The Monitor is a peculiar little publication that’s hard for the world to figure out. And I’m going to argue that we change lives precisely because we force open that too-small box that most human beings think they live in. We’re the bran muffin of journalism.īut you know what? We change lives. We’re seen as being global, fair, insightful, and perhaps a bit too earnest. If you were to come up with a punchline to a joke about the Monitor, that would probably be it. Sometimes, we call things ‘boring’ simply because they lie outside the box we are currently in.” My work in Kenya, for example, was heavily influenced by a Christian Science Monitor article I had forced myself to read 10 years earlier. “Many things that end up” being meaningful, writes social scientist Joseph Grenny, “have come from conference workshops, articles, or online videos that began as a chore and ended with an insight.

groundhog day accuracy stats

"Even though Phil's predictions proved correct for some areas of the country, the difference in average temperatures between years he predicted an early spring (times he did not see his shadow) and years he did not (times he saw his shadow) varied by no more than a few degrees," the Post reported.Ībout a year ago, I happened upon this statement about the Monitor in the Harvard Business Review – under the charming heading of “do things that don’t interest you”:

groundhog day accuracy stats groundhog day accuracy stats

They calculated the average daily temperatures during the six weeks after Groundhog Day for thepast 30 years, comparing the temperatures in the years when Philsaw his shadow to those in the years he did not. He also saw it last year, foretelling a brutal winter throughout the Northeast.īut how often are Phil's shadowy forecasts accurate? Ī team of wonks at The Washington Post actually did the math. The prognosticating woodchuck saw his shadow today (Feb. Every February, a small, furry mammal with buck teeth gets trotted out in front of a crowd in Pennsylvania to take part in a time-honored Groundhog Day tradition: If the beloved groundhog Punxsutawney Phil "sees" his shadow, the country is in for six more weeks of winter if he doesn't, we're in for an early spring.








Groundhog day accuracy stats